美侦察机频繁闯入中国防空识别区的意图:逼迫中国先开第一枪

截止2020.8 美军闯入南海并派遣军机对中国进行骚扰的频率迅速上升,仅七月份就出动了包括RC-135、EP-3E、E-8C在内的各型侦察机67架次,活动之密集史无前例,除了侦察次数大量增加,美军还不断压缩抵近侦察的极限距离,其侦巡航线与海岸线越靠越近,8月5日晚间,一架E-8C朝广东方向飞行,最近时距中国领海基线仅51.68海里(约95.7公里)。


2020.8.25,美U-2高空侦察机擅自闯入中国人民解放军北部战区实弹演习禁飞区活动,严重干扰中方正常演训活动,严重违反中美海空安全行为准则及相关国际惯例,极易引发误解误判甚至造成海空意外事件。
历史上,U2侦察机累积被击落7次,5次被中国击落,最早在1962年开始中国就能利用防空武器将U2侦察机击落。
2020.8.28,南海战略态势感知计划平台的信息显示,一架P-8A海神27号早上七点多从驻日美军基地起飞,一直向西南方向飞行,进入中方划定的东海防空识别区,而后继续向西南飞行,穿越防空识别区,随后下午1点多调头向东北方向飞离。
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美国的行动逻辑:
美国现在的目标简单明确,通过频繁的挑衅动作不断试探、消磨中国政府的耐心,尽一切可能主动制造冲突,如果你有了解过Trump的思维逻辑,就一定不会对此感到陌生,这就是他最喜欢用的招数——向目标极限施压,在2020年1月他对伊朗使用了相同的方法。
我们不难发现最近不论是派出的U2侦察机还是最近的P-8A,飞行高度都非常低,对于中国的现代防空系统来讲,击落这些飞机轻而易举,所以美国政府目的是用极限施压的手段,让中国做出过激举动,最好能够击落任意一架飞机,逼迫中国先开第一枪,造成“中国挑起冲突”的事实,从而理所应当的对中国发起制裁和战争,以将黑人问题,失业率问题,经济失调问题,以及在新冠疫情引发的矛盾转移到战争,而不用顾虑是否合法,国际公约以及国家形象受损。
中国的反制行动:
邀请美国参观过去60年中国所击落的所有U-2飞机残骸(之前击落的U-2均来自台湾空军)
在没有确定美军飞机具有敌意的情况下,不论美国如何挑衅绝不还手
等待美国大选将Trump这个疯子下台,或者等Trump让美国各州独立:)

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US reconnaissance planes frequently break into China’s Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) with the intention of forcing China to fire the first shot first.

2020.8 The frequency of U.S. military incursions into the South China Sea and the dispatch of military aircraft to harass China has increased rapidly, with 67 sorties by various types of reconnaissance aircraft, including RC-135, EP-3E and E-8C, launched in July alone, an unprecedented intensity of activity. On the evening of the same day, an E-8C flew in the direction of Guangdong and was at its closest point only 51.68 nautical miles (about 95.7 km) from the baseline of Chinese territorial waters.

2020.8.25, the U.S. U-2 high-altitude reconnaissance aircraft trespassed into the PLA’s northern combat zone live-fire exercise no-fly zone activities without authorization, seriously interfering with the Chinese side’s normal exercise and training activities, seriously violating the U.S.-China code of conduct for naval and air safety and relevant international practices, and easily causing misunderstandings and miscalculations or even naval and air accidents.
Historically, U2 reconnaissance aircraft have been shot down seven times, five times by China, and China has been able to shoot down U2 reconnaissance aircraft using anti-aircraft weapons since 1962.
On 2020.8.28, information from the South China Sea Strategic Situational Awareness Program platform shows that a P-8A Poseidon 27 took off from a U.S. military base in Japan at 7:00 a.m. and kept flying southwest to enter the East China Sea Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) delineated by the Chinese, while it continued flying southwest to cross the ADIZ, then turned around at 1:00 p.m. and departed northeast.

US logic of action.
The U.S. goal now is simple and clear, through frequent provocative actions to test and wear down the patience of the Chinese government, do everything possible to take the initiative to create conflict, if you have ever understood the logic of Trump’s thinking, you will not be surprised, this is his favorite tactic - to target the limits of pressure, in January 2020 he used the same method against Iran.
It’s not hard to notice that both the recent U2 reconnaissance aircraft sent and the recent P-8A have been flying at very low altitudes, and shooting down these aircraft is easy for China’s modern air defense systems, so the US government aims to use extreme pressure tactics to get China to make overly aggressive moves, preferably by shooting down any aircraft, forcing China to fire the first shot, causing " The fact that “China provoked the conflict” justifies sanctions and war against China in order to divert the black issue, the unemployment rate, the economic dislocation, and the conflict over the New Crown epidemic to war, without concern for legality, international conventions, or damage to the country’s image.
China’s counter-actions.
Invite the United States to visit the wreckage of all the U-2s shot down by China in the past 60 years (the previous U-2s shot down were from the Taiwan Air Force).
Do not fight back no matter how provocative the United States is without determining the hostile intent of American aircraft
Wait for the US election to remove the lunatic Trump from power, or wait for Trump to make the US states independent :slight_smile: